Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000753 0.000861 0.000975 0.001104 0.001247 0.001398 0.001572
2025-01-12 0.000573 0.000720 0.000886 0.001089 0.001325 0.001591 0.001912
2025-01-19 0.000473 0.000634 0.000827 0.001070 0.001365 0.001709 0.002137
2025-01-26 0.000417 0.000592 0.000809 0.001093 0.001450 0.001878 0.002423
2025-02-02 0.000372 0.000556 0.000792 0.001112 0.001524 0.002030 0.002690
2025-02-09 0.000321 0.000505 0.000752 0.001094 0.001548 0.002117 0.002875
2025-02-16 0.000277 0.000459 0.000710 0.001071 0.001560 0.002187 0.003037
2025-02-23 0.000251 0.000435 0.000698 0.001083 0.001618 0.002316 0.003274
2025-03-02 0.000227 0.000412 0.000683 0.001091 0.001668 0.002433 0.003500
2025-03-09 0.000196 0.000374 0.000644 0.001060 0.001662 0.002474 0.003623
2025-03-16 0.000169 0.000339 0.000606 0.001028 0.001652 0.002507 0.003735
2025-03-23 0.000152 0.000320 0.000589 0.001026 0.001682 0.002596 0.003923
2025-03-30 0.000137 0.000301 0.000574 0.001026 0.001717 0.002692 0.004125
2025-04-06 0.000122 0.000280 0.000552 0.001014 0.001733 0.002763 0.004294
2025-04-13 0.000106 0.000258 0.000528 0.000995 0.001737 0.002814 0.004435
2025-04-20 0.000100 0.000252 0.000529 0.001018 0.001804 0.002959 0.004711
2025-04-27 0.000093 0.000245 0.000527 0.001035 0.001864 0.003093 0.004974
2025-05-04 0.000082 0.000227 0.000506 0.001018 0.001868 0.003145 0.005119
2025-05-11 0.000072 0.000209 0.000482 0.000996 0.001863 0.003182 0.005242
2025-05-18 0.000066 0.000202 0.000479 0.001008 0.001913 0.003302 0.005488
2025-05-25 0.000061 0.000194 0.000473 0.001016 0.001955 0.003412 0.005721
2025-06-01 0.000052 0.000177 0.000447 0.000986 0.001934 0.003423 0.005808
2025-06-08 0.000045 0.000161 0.000422 0.000956 0.001911 0.003430 0.005886